Grok The Market

Real Estate Meets Insight: Turning Data Into Decisions – Rob Thompson, Realtor®, Iconic Colorado Properties, LLC

Of Median Pricing and M2 Money Supply

This is an update to my previous chart showing the M2 money supply and the median pricing in Colorado Springs. The R2 on this measure is .89. That’s a significantly high positive correlation (translation: follow the M2 to see where housing is going). Interest rates have a .5 correlation, which is the top end of […]

July – Aug 2022 Correlation Matrix

What you see here is a correlation matrix. This chart shows the correlation coefficient between variables. I.e., it shows the relationship between the listed variables in a house. E.g., in the last 30 days there is a .52 correlation between the closed price of a home and the total number of baths. This is a […]

Weekly Closed and List Prices since Aug 2019

Data is awesome. Here are the weekly closed and original list prices over the last three years. Here I have included the list price (if modified). It’s pretty interesting to me to see the periods of time where the list prices were dropped. On my to do list is to analyze the lead / lag […]

Where are the VA loans? (Colorado Springs)

I often see the question asked, “Is Colorado Springs a VA (loan) town?” With multiple bases in the area, the answer is, “Yes.” VA loans are the second most popular loan type in town, second to conventional. Here is the breakout of VA purchases by zip code YTD. Here is where folks are buying with […]

CoS: State of the Market

The market is cooling a bit. Inventory is up and the closed to list price ratio (a measure of how much above or below list price a buyer is paying) has come down on the average about 1-2%. What comes next? I think this slower market is going to be more the norm.

Real estate prices and inflation

I saw this morning someone post a generalized chart stating that real estate beats inflation. Let’s take a look at this locally. Below is about 22 years worth of average pricing, interest rates and inflation numbers. While real estate is largely tracking inflation the last couple of years, we do have a situation that hasn’t […]